The Portland Trail Blazers have recovered from a rocky start, winning four straight wins to go 10-8 in the season. Tonight they have the chance to avenge a loss to the Sacramento Kings, but to do that they have to go to the California capital.
After a surprising 5-4 start, the Kings have lost eight of their last nine, including four in a row. Their 4-5 road record and the 2-8 mark at home make it clear that they don’t really enjoy playing Sacramento, and who could blame them?
Luke Walton is not there as Kings coach, but her problems are much deeper. They struggled for years keeping young players happy and happy, and now Tyrese Halliburton and De’Aaron Fox have to hear their names every time trade rumors emerge.
Meanwhile, Portland scores one of its best wins of the year, a 19-point blow against the Denver Nuggets without Nikola Jokic behind 57 combined points from Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum.
Trail Blazers vs Kings betting lines: Point Spread, Moneyline and Over / Under
WynnBet has set the Blazers as a two-point favorite and set it to -130 to win straight away, while the Kings are +110. The over / under is set to 226.
I’m not sure what the odds makers have been watching over there over the past 19 days, but the Blazers are 7-3 on this stretch while Sacramento only won one in nine. McCollum has been fantastic all year long and Lillard is finally on the right track after a slow start.
In addition, there are steadily energetic appearances from Nassir Little, Anfernee Simons and Larry Nance, Jr., and the Blazers seem – at least at this moment – to be as hot as possible.
Meanwhile, the Kings sleepwalk through another year of playing Fox Electronic Game (19.9 PTS, 3.4 REB, 5.6 AST) and continued emergence of Richaun Holmes (14.4 PTS, 9.8 REB, 1 BLK).
Trail Blazers vs. Kings game prediction
Sacramento was enigmatic and historically bad at home too, so even as I calibrate my mild homerism, two points seems like an absurd number for this game.
But Portland’s record on the road is half a game worse than Sacramento’s mind-boggling 2-8 home mark. These bizarre numbers can confuse even seasoned gamers, but it helps trying to gauge which might be the bigger anomaly.
While Sacramento ends the season with just eight home wins, it seems unlikely that I can bet with both left arms and all of my unborn children that this Portland team will win more than five street games.
All of this makes me believe Portland is making up for their street problems (after all, there’s not much to distract them in Sacramento) and managing to cover the tiny two-point spreads.
The over / under is a much more difficult suggestion. It’s a few points higher than the combined average performance of the two teams this season, which generally points me to the lower bound.
The Blazers are also on their fifth back to back this month facing a relatively unmotivated Kings roster, so I can predict a listless game late in this game and possibly some end-of-the-benchers playtime.
All of this suggests lower shot rates and plenty of time for the end-of-the-benchers, so I’ll go with the under.
Selection: Portland -2 at -110, below 226
Trail Blazers vs. Kings Television and Radio
The game will be broadcast locally on Root Sports TV and KPOJ-AM 620 and nationwide on NBA League Pass. Start time is 7:00 p.m. Pacific.
Upcoming games from Blazers
Portland travels to the Bay Area to take on the Western Conference’s leading Golden State Warriors on Friday, and ends its three-game road trip with a visit to Utah on Monday. You will pursue that with four straight ones at home.