Putin’s Mobilization May Be Creating Disaster in Ukraine

 

Russian President Vladimir V. Putin’s mobilization of 300,000 reservists may just be a way to reinforce the failure, Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder said during an announcement today.

Putin has called up 300,000 Russian Reservists to protest his unjust and unprovoked war on Ukraine. Putin also indirectly fired his nuclear quiver.

His action follows his actions following a Ukrainian counteroffensive that drove Russian forces out of Kharkiv and liberated more than 3000 sq km of Ukrainian territory. In August, DOD Policy Chief Colin Kahl declared that the Russians have lost between 50 and 70,000 service members in the war against Ukraine.

The Russian president’s mobilisation “would primarily be reservists or members of the Russian military that had retired,” Ryder stated.

They are not the same as reserve formations within the United States. The reserve units of the U.S. military are trained and ready to move in short days or weeks, as needed.

In the Russian model the people are those who have completed their military commitment and are being called to come back. “It’s our assessment that it would take time for Russia to train, prepare and equip these forces,” Ryder said.

Russian actions in the war on Ukraine reveal serious problems with command and control as well as an inability to coordinate logistics since the invasion began February 24. These issues haven’t been solved and have contributed to the inability of Russian operations to capture Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv in March and in the Russian inability to make any progress in the Donbas region in April.

The mobilisation “may address a manpower issue for Russia,” Ryder said. “What’s not clear is whether or not it could significantly address the command and control, the logistics, the sustainment and importantly, the morale issues that we’ve seen Russian forces in Ukraine experience.”

If Russia cannot command maintain and equip the roughly 100,000 troops they have in Ukraine and maintain their current army, adding 300,000 troops to the mix is not going to make the situation better. “If you are already having significant challenges and haven’t addressed some of those systemic strategic issues that make any large military force capable, there’s nothing to indicate that it’s going to get any easier by adding more variables to the equation,” Ryder stated.

The United States and its partners are going to continue a very open and rigorous dialogue with Ukrainian counterparts to understand the country’s requirements. “I don’t see those conversations as being impacted by the situation ,” the general said. “I believe it’s crucial here to provide a some the context. If we go back a to the beginning, Russia invaded Ukraine and attempted to conquer the entirety of Ukraine.

“They failed in that strategic objective, and so they scaled down the scope of their operational objectives,” he added. “Even those aren’t going well due to Ukraine’s counter offensive and the issues that I’ve highlighted in terms of logistics and sustainment.”

Putin when he made the announcement on mobilization, sham referenda in areas of the Donbas or threats of attacking territories, “it doesn’t change the operational facts on the ground, which are that the Ukrainians will continue to fight for their country,” Ryder said. “The Russian military is dealing with some significant challenges on the ground and the international community will stand behind Ukraine as they fight to defend their country from an invasion.”

Comments are closed.